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《全球港口追踪》预计美集装箱总量今年大增

作者: 发布时间:2012-08-19 浏览量:6821
《全球港口追踪》预计美集装箱总量今年大增

《全球港口追踪》预计美集装箱总量今年大增

来源:American Shipper (14/08/2012)

翻译:国际海事信息网 汪涛 姚婉悦


        全美零售商联合会(NRF)与哈克特协会(Hackett Associates)周一联合发布八月最新的《全球港口追踪》预计报道。报道称同去年相比,今年8月美国主要集装箱港口零售市场进口量有望取得6.3%的增长。
 

       报道预计今年全美集装箱总量将比去年提高足足4.8%。
 

       全美零售商联合会供应链及海关政策部副部长乔纳森·歌德表示,如果零售商选择在节假日这一至关重要的期间将商品引进国内的话,集装箱港口的进口量未来数月都会取得显著增长。虽然实际销售量还要取决于消费者的就业水平以及其他方面的指标,然而这丝毫不影响零售商备货工作的进行,期望能在今年的秋冬季节获得更漂亮的成绩。
 

       据《全球港口追踪》调查,6月全美港口共装卸集装箱140万TEU。同比去年增长10.7%,同比5月增长4.7%。据上个月《全球港口追踪》估计,7月全美港口共装卸集装箱140万TEU,同比去年增长2.6%。目前8月预计装卸总量仍为140万TEU,同比去年增长6.3%;9月总量涨到150万TEU,同比去年增长7.3%;10月150万TEU,同比去年增长13.2%;11月130万TEU,同比去年增长2.4%;12月120万TEU,同比去年增长2.4%。

 

       2012年上半年共计装卸总量760万TEU,同比去年增长了3.8%。预计今年全年总量能达1590
万TEU,较2011年增长4.8%。
 

     “虽然目前影响消费的指标形形色色,分析家也表示担忧,期望美国的消费者能减少消费行
为,降低消费量,”哈克特协会创建人本·哈克特表示,“但是我们仍坚信,买卖的势头是不会因他
人的几句预测就能减弱的。”
 

 

Port Tracker bullish on U.S. container growth
 
Tuesday, August 14, 2012 

  Import cargo volume at the nation’s major retail container ports is expected to increase 6.3 percent in August, compared with the same month in 2011, according to the latest monthly Global Port Tracker report released Monday by the National Retail Federation and Hackett Associates.

 

The report forecasts container volume growth for 2012 of 4.8 percent over last year.

  

“These numbers all show significant increases for the months when retailers will be bringing merchandise into the country for the crucial holiday season, and we’re also expecting an increase for the full year,” NRF Vice President for Supply Chain and Customs Policy Jonathan Gold said. “Actual sales will depend on how consumers react to employment levels and other indicators, but retailers are clearly stocking up and hoping for a stronger fall and winter than they saw last year.”
  

U.S. ports followed by Global Port Tracker handled 1.4 million TEUs in June, the latest month for which after-the-fact numbers are available. That was up 10.7 percent from June 2011 and 4.7 percent from May.
 

July was estimated at 1.4 million TEUs, up 2.6 percent from the same month last year. August is forecast at 1.4 million TEUs, up 6.3 percent; September at 1.5 million TEUs, up 7.3 percent; October at 1.5 million TEUs, up 13.2 percent; November at 1.3 million TEUs, up 2.4 percent; and December at 1.2 million TEUs, up 2.4 percent.
  

The first half of 2012 totaled 7.6 million TEUs, up 3.8 percent from the same period last year. For the full year, 2012 is expected to total 15.9 million TEUs, up 4.8 percent from 2011.
 

  “Indicators are mixed, and analysts are getting nervous and expecting the U.S. consumer to retrench and reduce consumption,” Hackett Associates founder Ben Hackett said. “But we continue to believe that trade will not weaken as much as expected by others.”

 

来源:simic

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