来源：American Shipper 2017-11-13
翻译：国际海事信息网 姜文杰 张运鸿
WTO forecasts 'moderate' trade growth at year’s end
While trade volumes are expected to continue increasing through the rest of the year, the World Trade Organization (WTO) forecasts that the pace of this growth will be slower than at the start of 2017.
Specifically, the WTO Indicator (WTOI) for the fourth quarter of 2017 has registered at 102.2 signals, down from the trade body’s last reading of 102.6 signals in August.
WTOI’s measurement of export orders suggests moderately strong growth in the coming months. However, indices for international air freight and container throughput at the world’s ports suggest some lost momentum, and automobile production and sales numbers appear to be bottoming out. Indices covering trade in electronic components and agricultural commodities are both rising.
The WTO said these results are “broadly consistent” with its upgraded forecast for world merchandise trade growth that was issued on Sept. 21. This forecast predicted 2017 trade expansion of 3.6 percent, following a stronger than expected start to trade activity the first half of this year.