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德鲁里:海运业或将有所回暖

作者: 发布时间:2018-04-05 浏览量:275
德鲁里:海运业或将有所回暖
来源:American Shipper 2018-04-04
翻译:国际海事信息网 姜文杰 张运鸿
 
       根据德鲁里(Drewry)最新的年度集装箱运输市场预测报告显示,该市场2018年和2019年良性的需求增长速率可能会超过船队规模的增长,从而提高了费率和利润空间。
 
       然而,德鲁里——一家总部位于伦敦的航运研究和咨询公司告诫说,该报告完成时,中美间贸易摩擦还没有现在那么浓烈的火药味儿。
 
       根据Drewry的说法,最糟糕的情况是,全球1%的集装箱货运量可能会受到贸易战关税上升影响。
 
       “对于运营商来说,坏消息是在可预见的未来,他们可能无法看到2017年年初强劲的需求增长率,”Drewry集装箱研究部高级经理兼该报告总编辑Simon Heaney如是说。 “好消息是,尽管港口吞吐量增长可能已经达到顶峰,但至少在未来两年内,依然可以预期会有非常充足的货运量。”
 
      (本文版权归国际海事信息网所有,转载请注明出处。)
 
Drewry predicts modest growth for ocean carriers
 
The container shipping market’s healthy demand growth in 2018 and 2019 is likely to outpace fleet growth, leading to slightly higher freight rates and profits for carriers, according to Drewry’s latest annual Container Forecaster report.
  
However, the London-based shipping research and consulting firm cautioned the report was completed before recent escalation in trade hostility between the United States and China.
  
Worst case scenario, as much as 1 percent of the world’s loaded container traffic could be exposed to tariffs, according to Drewry.
  
“The bad news for carriers is that they are unlikely to see the very strong demand growth rates of early 2017 for the foreseeable future,” said Simon Heaney, senior manager, container research at Drewry and editor of the report. “The good news is that while port handling growth may have peaked, they can still expect more than adequate volumes for at least the next two years.
来源:simic

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